Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
87 Yale 100.0%   14   21 - 7 10 - 4 21 - 7 10 - 4 +5.8      +5.5 42 +0.3 157 75.2 46 +6.7 78 +4.9 2
127 Harvard 0.0%   17 - 11 10 - 4 17 - 11 10 - 4 +3.0      +0.5 161 +2.4 108 67.7 207 +4.2 112 +5.5 1
128 Penn 0.0%   18 - 12 7 - 7 18 - 12 7 - 7 +2.9      -0.2 183 +3.2 90 67.9 206 +3.7 118 0.0 6
149 Brown 0.0%   17 - 11 7 - 7 17 - 11 7 - 7 +1.1      -3.7 277 +4.8 57 75.9 38 +1.4 144 +0.2 5
173 Princeton 0.0%   14 - 12 8 - 6 14 - 12 8 - 6 -0.7      -3.5 270 +2.8 99 68.2 191 +1.5 143 +2.3 3
211 Columbia 0.0%   8 - 18 5 - 9 8 - 18 5 - 9 -2.8      -1.5 217 -1.3 201 69.1 162 -5.6 256 -2.7 7
215 Cornell 0.0%   13 - 15 7 - 7 13 - 15 7 - 7 -2.9      -3.3 263 +0.4 156 68.9 168 -0.9 179 +0.8 4
221 Dartmouth 0.0%   9 - 19 2 - 12 9 - 19 2 - 12 -3.4      -0.7 196 -2.7 252 65.7 266 -6.4 269 -9.5 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Harvard 1.0 100.0
Penn 4.0 100.0
Brown 4.0 100.0
Princeton 3.0 100.0
Columbia 7.0 100.0
Cornell 4.0 100.0
Dartmouth 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 10 - 4 100.0
Harvard 10 - 4 100.0
Penn 7 - 7 100.0
Brown 7 - 7 100.0
Princeton 8 - 6 100.0
Columbia 5 - 9 100.0
Cornell 7 - 7 100.0
Dartmouth 2 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 100.0
Harvard 100.0% 100.0
Penn
Brown
Princeton
Columbia
Cornell
Dartmouth


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   6.3 41.9 51.4 0.5
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.9% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.9% 0.1 85.1 14.9
Sweet Sixteen 3.6% 0.0 96.4 3.6
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0